The relationship between openness, inflation and economic growth in Zambia from 1965 to 2015, an ardl Bounds approach.

dc.contributor.authorMulenga, Michael Bwalya
dc.date.accessioned2024-05-08T07:20:07Z
dc.date.available2024-05-08T07:20:07Z
dc.date.issued2019
dc.descriptionThesis of Master of Arts in Economics
dc.description.abstractUsing ARDL Bounds approach to cointegration, the present study, examines the relationships between openness, growth and inflation in Zambia for the period 1965 to 2015. The study fails to validate Romer’s hypothesis of a negative relationship between inflation and openness. It is found that the LR elasticity coefficient of inflation to openness is positive and weakly significant, at 6% level of significance. The positive relationship between inflation and openness is found to be more robust in the SR than LR. The results are consistent with cost push hypothesis (openness causes a faster rate of inflation). Additionally, the study finds a negative SR and LR relationship between inflation and economic growth and best explained by cost push theory of inflation. Lastly, a positive and highly statistically significant SR and LR relationship between openness and economic growth is found. Zambia being part of the global market, has benefitted from spillover of skilled labor; investments as well as technology to enhance production capacity. The results of this paper are consistent with classical theories of trade and many others’ findings of positive relationship between openness and economic growth. The study recommends that the economic managers of Zambia’s economy should adopt such policies that promote openness so that inflation can be controlled in the LR, also leading to economic growth.
dc.identifier.urihttps://dspace.unza.zm/handle/123456789/8594
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherThe University of Zambia
dc.titleThe relationship between openness, inflation and economic growth in Zambia from 1965 to 2015, an ardl Bounds approach.
dc.typeThesis
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